The Oklahoma City Thunder will try to even the 2025 NBA Finals on Sunday after suffering a heartbreaking loss in Game 1. The Pacers walked away with a 111-110 victory in the series-opener thanks to a game-winning shot by Tyrese Haliburton. The Thunder became the first team in the last 10 seasons to be a double-digit favorite in an NBA Finals game and lose. OKC enters Sunday’s showdown 15-5 in its last 20 games, while the Pacers are 11-3 in their past 14 contests. 

Game 2 will get underway from the Paycom Center at 8 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Pacers odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, up a half-point from the opener, while the over/under for total points scored is 228.5. Before making any Pacers vs. Thunder picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who is SportsLine’s No. 1 expert and is on a huge 165-91 roll on his NBA picks that have returned more than 33 units. 

Now, Severance has analyzed Pacers vs. Thunder and just revealed his coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Pacers. New users can utilize a DraftKings promo code, a FanDuel promo code or a BetMGM promo code to get started. 

Why the Thunder can cover

Point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is coming off a 38-point, five-rebound and three-assist performance in Game 1 against the Pacers. He has scored 30 or more points in eight of the past nine games. He registered a near triple-double in a 128-126 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 4 of their Western Conference Finals series. In 17 postseason games, all starts, he is averaging 30.2 points, 6.7 assists, 5.6 rebounds and 1.6 steals in 36.6 minutes.

Also helping lead the Thunder is forward Jalen Williams. He is coming off a 17-point, six-assist and four-rebound effort in Game 1 against Indiana. He had a playoff-high 34 points with five assists, three rebounds and three steals in the Western Conference Finals Game 4 win over the Timberwolves. In 17 postseason starts, he is averaging 20.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, 5.4 assists and 1.6 steals in 34.6 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Pacers can cover

Power forward Pascal Siakam is coming off a double-double in the series opener, scoring 19 points and grabbing 10 rebounds. He had 31 points, five rebounds, three assists and three blocks in the Game 6 Eastern Conference Finals win over the New York Knicks. In Game 4 of that series, he had 30 points, five rebounds and two assists in a 130-121 win. In 17 playoff starts, Siakam is averaging 20.9 points, six rebounds, 3.2 assists and one steal in 33.6 minutes.

Haliburton, the hero in Game 1, finished with a double-double, scoring 14 points, while adding 10 rebounds and six assists. The power forward had three double-doubles and one triple-double in the Eastern Conference Finals. In the 125-108 Game 6 win over the Knicks, he scored 21 points, dished out 13 assists and grabbed six rebounds. In 17 postseason starts, he is averaging 18.5 points, 9.5 assists, 5.9 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 35.4 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Pacers vs. Thunder picks

Now, Severance has locked in another confident against-the-spread pick for Pacers vs. Thunder. He is leaning Under the total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. You should see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Thunder vs. Pacers Game 2, and what X-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the expert who is up 33 units on his NBA picks, and find out.